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Morning Edge looks at the economy, company financials, price trends, options, insider buying and online sentiment together. Each reading notes how well tested it is.
Free. A 2-minute daily glimpse and one deeper weekly issue. Unsubscribe in one click.
A holistic approach
One indicator is rarely enough. Every issue covers the same six areas.
Macro backdrop
Eight signals covering trend, breadth, volatility, credit, jobs and the yield curve.
Business fundamentals
Revenue growth, margins, cash flow and debt from SEC filings.
Price and trend
Where a stock sits against its 200-day average, its 52-week range and its own volatility.
Options and risk
How big a move the options market expects, and which stocks tend to move together.
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by executives and directors, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Crowd sentiment
The most-discussed tickers on Reddit and StockTwits, next to each company's financial quality.
Sample data
Real data from our evening run on Fri Nov 6, 2026. These charts update every trading day.
Market mood: Mixed
3 supportive · 4 neutral · 1 warning- Market trendsupportiveS&P 500 (SPY) is +1.1% vs its 200-day average
- Breadthneutral55% of 70 large caps sit above their own 200-day average
- Volatility (VIX)neutralVIX at 25.6 (under 20 is calm, over 30 is stressed)
- Fear curvewarningshort-term fear is above 3-month fear (VIX/VIX3M 1.04)
- Credit stressneutralhigh-yield bond spread at 3.48%
- Financial conditionssupportivefinancial conditions looser than average (Chicago Fed NFCI -0.46)
- Jobless claimssupportivejobless claims 0% above their 52-week low
- Yield curveneutral10-year minus 3-month yield +0.67% (positive)
From the daily email.
Upside vs downside
Each dot is a stock. Higher and further left means more modeled upside relative to downside. This is an untested model reading. Our backtest found it predicts the size of a move, not the direction.
Online chatter vs quality
The most-discussed tickers with a 0-100 quality rank from SEC filings. Green is stronger, yellow is weaker.
The board: tonight's top 10 by model upside vs downside
model reading, untested| Ticker | Today | Model good / bad case | Trendhigh=good | vs 200dhigh=good | Volatilitylow=good | Qualityhigh=good | Revenuehigh=good | Target gaphigh=good | Buzzneutral | Short DTCneutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNDK | +4.3% | +75% / -20% | 50 | -34% | 94% | 95 | +378% | +147% | 26 | 1.0 |
| AXTI | +6.4% | +92% / -25% | 50 | -40% | 125% | 85 | +165% | +134% | 40 | 1.4 |
| LITE | +5.9% | +57% / -16% | 50 | -33% | 111% | 78 | +137% | +99% | 50 | 1.5 |
| MU | +5.8% | +50% / -14% | 52 | -8% | 75% | 95 | +346% | +133% | 18 | 1.0 |
| INTC | +8.8% | +48% / -18% | 38 | -35% | 101% | 55 | +21% | +61% | 30 | 1.5 |
| QQQ | +1.6% | +11% / -4% | 13 | -3% | 27% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 17 | n/a |
| MRVL | +6.3% | +54% / -21% | 38 | -23% | 93% | 67 | +37% | +129% | 12 | 1.1 |
| AMD | +10.8% | +37% / -15% | 59 | +8% | 84% | 88 | +45% | +46% | 10 | 2.0 |
| LRCX | +8.8% | +36% / -16% | 21 | -29% | 76% | 89 | +54% | +89% | 50 | 3.6 |
| CAT | +1.2% | +18% / -8% | 5 | -31% | 46% | 69 | +17% | +45% | 12 | n/a |
Each cell ranks the stock 0-100 against all 75 names we score. Green is favorable and yellow is unfavorable for that measure. Today is the day's move including after hours. 5 of the top 5 are Information Technology; 3 share one SEC industry (Semiconductors & Related Devices), so they are close to one bet. These are model outputs, not recommendations.
What you get
Daily glimpse
Weekday mornings, about 2 minutes
- Market mood across eight signals and what changed
- Most-discussed stocks with a quality check
- The three biggest model swing readings and their risks
- Recent dips and the status of our one tested rule
Weekly deep dive
Weekends, about 10 minutes
- The week's market backdrop by day
- Upside vs downside map and repeat names
- Revenue and margin check, online chatter vs quality
- How earlier readings did and new test results
How we test
Ideas are logged before testing
Every idea is recorded before we test it, so the ones that fail stay on the record.
Results are adjusted for luck
Testing many ideas means some look good by chance. We apply a multiple-testing correction, use data from 2015 on, and include trading costs.
Results are published
Each weekly issue shows how earlier readings played out.
This is research and education, not investment advice. We don't tell anyone what to buy.